Cobalt advises on how ship production capability moves — between yards, across borders, and into new hull types nobody has built at scale before.

Production capability transfer and its enablers — autonomy, digital engineering, automation across processes — together create the need for new, accelerated approaches to manufacturing.

William C. Watts, Principal

Washington, DC

william.watts@cobalt-growth.com

The problem, in one measurement

The Navy's distributed-shipbuilding target is to move half of the work outward, beyond the established prime manufacturer yards.

Autonomous systems are creating new hull forms, with new businesses growing at the speed of tech startups.

Commercial shipbuilding enables the scale that revolutionizes manufacturing and underpins industrial base investment.

~10%distributed today
50%stated target

New manufacturing approaches are a process problem before they are a contracting or capital problem. Capacity does not move or scale because a contract says it should; it moves when process, tooling, and people move with it.

Our practice

Cobalt works on the transfer of the capability to build — from a yard that has it to one that does not, from prime contractors to subcontractors, from one country's industrial base to another's, and from established hull forms into classes that have never been produced in volume.

That work is analytical. It means establishing whether a receiving yard can actually absorb a design, which transfer mechanism fits the commercial and regulatory requirements, the sizing, the sequencing, and cost of the transfer.

The practice is deliberately narrow. Where a problem does not resolve to a production-capability-transfer problem, Cobalt says so rather than forcing the fit.

Two things that are frequently mistaken for the thesis

Autonomous marine systems are the demand channel, not an independent practice area. Dynamic scaling is the core business for unmanned platforms — and this is where production problems become visible first, sometimes before the designer has articulated them.

AI, digital twins, and robotics in the maritime industrial base are part of the method, not the objective. They are one mechanism among several by which production capability transfers — tools whose ROI is not realized unless they are embedded in a broader process.

What actually moves

Production capability is not a single thing and does not transfer by a single route. Four mechanisms carry it. Most real transfers use more than one, and the combination is usually where the analysis earns its fee.

Mechanism one

Design licensing

A design crosses to a yard that did not draw it. The question is rarely whether the license can be written — it is whether the drawings, tolerances, and build strategy survive contact with a different yard's methods, equipment, and workforce.

Mechanism two

Technical assistance

People and process knowledge move alongside the design, usually under a separate instrument. This is where most of the transferable know-how actually sits, and where the gap between a signed license and a launched hull is closed or is not.

Mechanism three

Personnel and know-how mobility

Naval architecture and marine engineering capacity is genuinely scarce, and the domestic pipeline does not fill the gap. Moving experienced people — including from allied industrial bases — is a transfer mechanism in its own right, not a staffing footnote.

Mechanism four

Tooling, automation, and facilities

Capability is embedded in physical assets with long lead times — specialty tooling, welding automation, power delivery to a site. The investment case for these usually fails on labor-cost arguments alone but succeeds on delivery-speed requirements.

On sequence

The order matters more than the inventory. Engineering design, then quality management, then yard digitalization, then production planning and execution — with automation and robotics as the final enabling layer rather than the objective. Yards that buy the last layer first tend to acquire expensive equipment that their process cannot feed.

Where it applies

The same problem appears in different commercial dress depending on who is holding it. These are the situations Cobalt is built to work on.

Venture-backed shipbuilders and autonomy platform companies

Companies scaling from prototype to volume production, often faster than any established yard has ever had to. The recurring question is build, hire, or license — and it is usually decided before anyone has scoped the production-transfer problem properly.

Shipbuilders entering new national markets

Established builders with real production capability who want to cross borders to invest in new capacity. Market entry is a structuring problem, a regulatory problem, and a capability-transfer problem at the same time, and the three cannot be sequenced independently.

Established yards and primes adopting design for production

Builders who already produce at volume and are moving or expanding a proven production method into a new product line, a new facility, or a new class of hull. The work is comparative, diagnostic and can be transformational.

Component and subsystem manufacturers moving upstream

Contract manufacturers and commercial producers deciding whether to convert capacity toward defense and maritime work. Data rights, compliance posture, and the capital case are the three questions that decide it.

Investors in maritime industrial assets

Diligence on whether a yard, a facility, or a supplier actually holds transferable production capability — as distinct from a backlog, a footprint, or a set of certifications.

How engagements work

Cobalt is engaged for a fixed fee against a defined scope of analytical work, agreed in writing before the work starts.

Bounded diagnostic

A scoped assessment of a specific production-transfer question, delivered ahead of a decision — build, hire, license, acquire, or enter. Priced and closed on its own terms, with a defined deliverable and a defined end. It is not structured as an entry point to a standing retainer.

Entry and transfer advisory

Longer-form work supporting a yard or manufacturer through a market entry or a capability transfer, from the initial capability assessment through mechanism selection and counterparty evaluation.

How engagements are staffed

Cobalt as a practice assembles technical specialists across engagements, leveraging its broad, deep, and global network. Naval-architecture work is sourced from the right partner to meet the problem at hand.

Standing advisory

Continuing analytical support where a client has recurring questions across a portfolio or a program of work.

Scope of the work

Cobalt provides analysis and advice on industrial capability and market structure. Cobalt is not a law firm and does not provide legal advice. Clients should retain their own counsel on regulatory, export-control, contracting, and transaction matters, and Cobalt works alongside that counsel rather than in place of it.

William C. Watts

Principal, Cobalt Growth Advisory

William C. Watts is the principal of Cobalt Growth Advisory, where he advises foreign industrial entrants, U.S. shipyards, and their investors on how ship-production capability moves across yards and borders. His focus is design-for-production capability transfer — the licensing, technical-assistance, and workforce arrangements that make a proven design buildable in a new yard — with autonomous maritime systems as the demand channel that surfaces the underlying production problems.

He brings more than two decades across equity research at Salomon Smith Barney, industrial and technology strategy at StorageTek and Sun Microsystems, and cross-border, frontier-market advisory with Dunia Frontier Consultants and Teneo, based between Washington and Dubai, with operating depth across the Middle East, Africa, and Asia.

The background the work runs on

Capability transfer is a structuring problem before it is an engineering problem. Three strands of the record bear on it directly, and the combination rather than any one of them is what applies.

Capital and valuation

Equity research and cross-border M&A built the valuation, negotiation, and deal-architecture instincts a transfer engagement runs on — build versus buy versus license, and the capital case behind automation.

Industrial and hardware

Corporate strategy inside enterprise hardware and data storage, alongside energy and infrastructure work, means fluency in throughput, ramp, tooling, and capacity buildout rather than software and services alone.

Cross-border operating

Frontier-market and CEO advisory between Washington and Dubai, with depth across the Middle East, Africa, and Asia — the regions supplying foreign shipbuilding capital, design, and workforce.

Scope and posture

William is a strategist and structurer, not a naval architect or marine engineer. He does not design vessels. His contribution is the commercial, structural, and cross-border architecture that makes capability transfer legal, financeable, and executable.

Cobalt assembles technical specialists per engagement rather than carrying them permanently. That keeps the practice lean and keeps the principal's contribution on the layer where it is real, while naval-architecture work is sourced from the right partner for each engagement.

Stanford UniversityBachelor of Arts
Georgetown UniversityMaster of Science in Foreign Service, Walsh School of Foreign Service

Contact

Emailwilliam.watts@cobalt-growth.com

LocationWashington, DC

Cobalt does not maintain a general inquiry form. Introductions and scoping conversations are handled directly.